The Thunder are weaker this year, you can't discount Kevin Martin and his impact. I said he was no slouch when they got him in the trade, and he helped tremendously. That's 15 points, and they didn't really replace it. At some point, losing talent is going to bite them. So I think the Thunder are the 3rd or 4th best team in the West.
The Pacers took the Heat to seven games WITHOUT their best player in Granger. And they have gotten better, they will dethrone the Heat.