I think it would benefit the spurs to play teams that like to get up and down, and aren't too physical.
I would like to see them slip to the 2nd seed, and play houston in the first round. We match up well with Denver, and they aren't gonna beat us up, so I would like them in the Second Round.
That means OKC potentially would see the Lakers in the 1st, Memphis(or clippers, but i think memphis beats them this year), and then the showdown in the Finals.
Lakers and Memphis are tougher matchups for us than Houston and Denver, in my opinion. That style of play might be easier on Manu and keep him healthy for the WCF.