37-6-11 is good against any team and the league is filled with the best player on bad teams putting up huge numbers against other bad teams and sometimes even against good teams.
And nope, I don't think they're going to beat out Denver or Utah. I think they'll be lucky to get close to a .500 season, the West is just way to strong and there's absolutely nobody on the Houston roster (outside of Harden) who has shown anything even remotely close to a consistent high level of play.
And you're right if they were in the East their chances would be better, but they're not, they're in the West, so rocket fans need to hope the ping-pong balls fall right for them at the next draft lottery so they can continue to get better.
Since you can't fix stupid, at least you should be able to prosecute it!