I agree with Uwe. Without adding a dominant frontcourt player to supplement the decline of Duncan the Spurs will be a tough playoff out, but an out nonetheless. They will probably win enough regular season games to get a top 4 seed and thus probably make 2nd round at least. But lasting four rounds to claim a title looms improbable. Should still be fun to enjoy another record-setting 50 win season.
When the Spurs lose...it makes Baby Jesus cry